IMPACT OF CENTRAL BANK COMMUNICATIONS ON EXCHANGE RATE DYNAMICS IN NIGERIA (2007-2011)

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dc.contributor.authorNA’ALLAH, NICODEMUS
dc.date.accessioned2014-02-25T09:23:29Z
dc.date.available2014-02-25T09:23:29Z
dc.date.issued2012-11
dc.descriptionIMPACT OF CENTRAL BANK COMMUNICATIONS ON EXCHANGE RATE DYNAMICS IN NIGERIA (2007-2011) BY NA’ALLAH NICODEMUS (M.Sc/Soc-Sci/5379/2009-2010) A THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE SCHOOL OF POST GRADUATE STUDIES, AHMADU BELLO UNIVERSITY, ZARIA IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE AWARD OF MASTERS DEGREE IN ECONOMICS. DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS, FACULTY OF SOCIAL SCIENCES AHMADU BELLO UNIVERSITY, ZARIA, NIGERIA NOVEMBER, 2012en_US
dc.description.abstractCentral Bank Communication has come to play an increasingly important role as a policy tool for monetary authorities over the past decade. This is in recognition of the powerful influence the central bank communication has on economic agents’ expectations, hence their economic decision-making. This thesis analyzes the impact of central bank communication signals on daily (five days in a week) changes in the Naira per US dollar exchange rate for the period 2007-2011. Theoretically, participants (especially speculators) in the foreign exchange market actively look up to the Central Bank for information to help them form expectations on the future directions of the exchange rate changes. Communications from the Central Bank therefore convey signals that may raise daily demand/supply of foreign exchange, hence affect the daily exchange rate. To empirically determine whether communication signals affect exchange rate, an EGARCH model was estimated using daily data from 2007 to 2011.The empirical results indicate that communication (oral interventions) has exhibited a significant and contemporaneous effect on daily exchange rates in Nigeria. Moreover, communication is found to reduce exchange rate volatility and uncertainty whereas actual interventions which are costly tend to raise volatility. We can recommend this by suggesting that communication (oral intervention) potentially constitute an effective and largely autonomous policy tool for Nigeria policy makers.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/2490
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.subjectIMPACTen_US
dc.subjectCENTRAL BANKen_US
dc.subjectCOMMUNICATIONSen_US
dc.subjectEXCHANGEen_US
dc.subjectRATEen_US
dc.subjectDYNAMICSen_US
dc.subjectNIGERIAen_US
dc.subject(2007-2011)en_US
dc.titleIMPACT OF CENTRAL BANK COMMUNICATIONS ON EXCHANGE RATE DYNAMICS IN NIGERIA (2007-2011)en_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
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