DEMAND ESTIMATION FOR OUTDOOR RECREATIONAL ACTIVITIES IN KADUNA METROPOLIS
DEMAND ESTIMATION FOR OUTDOOR RECREATIONAL ACTIVITIES IN KADUNA METROPOLIS
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Date
2011-06
Authors
ABUBAKAR, IBRAHIM JIBRIN
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Abstract
Amongst the crucial challenges faced by the recreation planner is that of translating the
recreational needs of the population into reality. This the recreation planner does through
preparation of recreation plans. In preparing a recreation plan the factors of demand
( population, education, income, mobility, employment) are largely considered in establishing
demand, estimating demand, and projecting demand. However, considering these factors
alone is not enough a basis for predicting the pattern of demand into various recreational
pursuits especially in the future, as demand for recreation does change due to new status
acquired by the people. This is evident in the high level of popularity of certain recreation
activities at a particular point in time, while at the same time popularity into other
recreational activities is declining, all as a result of the changing pattern of demand.
The methodology of the research involves the use of primary and secondary sources of
information. The primary source acquire information on the factors of demand, in
establishing demand for recreation at present time (i.e. establishing demand through age,
sex, income, education background, mobility etc.). The Secondary source of information is
from obtained data (participation level) for various recreational pursuits which is subjected to
the trend analysis of which the least square method is used to take care of external factors
(such as climatic changes seasonal variations etc.) that can influence participation into the
activities. The findings reveals that some outdoor recreational activities are showing signs of
decline in their pattern of demand in the future, while others recreational activities are
recording remarkable increase in their pattern of demand in the future. This changing nature
of demand can only be understood through the trend analysis which predicts the pattern of
demand into various recreational pursuit in the future, thereby giving the recreation planner
an insight on the trend of demand over a long period of time. Hence, combining the
demographic trends( population, education, income, mobility, employment) with the trend
analysis will go along way in establishing what is currently in demand( as regards recreation)
and predicting what will eventually be demanded for over time.
Description
A thesis submitted to the Dean, Post Graduate School Ahmadu Bello University Zaria,
in partial fulfilment for the award of a Master of Science Degree in Tourism and
Recreation Planning
DEPARTMENT OF URBAN AND REGIONAL PLANNING
FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENTAL DESIGN
AHMADU BELLO UNIVERSITY
ZARIA-NIGERIA
JUNE 2011
Keywords
DEMAND,, ESTIMATION,, OUTDOOR,, RECREATIONAL,, ACTIVITIES,, KADUNA,, METROPOLIS,